1932

Abstract

What are the sources of democratic stability? The evidence from three modern waves suggests that stability rests on economic growth, strong states, and liberal institutions. But can we secure democratic stability beyond liberalism? This question is relevant to those developing countries that have little hope, and perhaps little interest in liberal democracy. But it is also increasingly relevant to those developed nations where the achievements of the twentieth-century liberal order are being eroded. This article takes a fresh look at democratic stability by reviewing the evidence from the last two and a half millennia. Particular attention is devoted to the case of ancient Athens, which highlights the importance of alignment between shared norms and appropriately designed institutions. Athens’ case suggests that goods that we usually associate with modern liberal democracy do not necessarily rely on a given set of values and do not have a unique institutional manifestation.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-052918-012050
2020-05-11
2024-06-10
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/polisci/23/1/annurev-polisci-052918-012050.html?itemId=/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-052918-012050&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

Literature Cited

  1. Acemoglu D, Johnson S, Robinson JA 2005. The rise of Europe: Atlantic trade, institutional change, and economic growth. Am. Econ. Rev. 95:3546–79
    [Google Scholar]
  2. Acemoglu D, Naidu S, Restrepo P, Robinson JA 2014. Democracy does cause growth NBER Work. Pap 20004
    [Google Scholar]
  3. Acemoglu D, Robinson JA. 2000. Why did the West extend the franchise? Democracy, inequality, and growth in historical perspective. Q. J. Econ. 24:41167–99
    [Google Scholar]
  4. Acemoglu D, Robinson JA. 2006. Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  5. Acemoglu D, Robinson JA. 2016. Paths to inclusive political institutions. Economic History of Warfare and State Formation Y Eloranta, E Golson, A Markevich, N Wolf 3–50 Singapore: Springer
    [Google Scholar]
  6. Almond GA, Verba S. 1963. The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  7. Andersen D, Møller J, Rørbæk LL, Skaaning SE 2014. State capacity and political regime stability. Democratization. 2171305–25
  8. Angelucci C, Meraglia S, Voigtländer N 2019. How merchant towns shaped parliaments: from the Norman conquest of England to the Great Reform Act NBER Work. Pap 23606
    [Google Scholar]
  9. Barro RJ. 1997. Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
    [Google Scholar]
  10. Baum MA, Lake DA. 2003. The political economy of growth: democracy and human capital. Am. J. Political Sci. 47:2333–47
    [Google Scholar]
  11. Benati G, Guerriero C, Zaina F 2019. The rise of inclusive political institutions and stronger property rights: time inconsistency versus opacity Work. Pap. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3395353
    [Google Scholar]
  12. Boix C. 2003. Democracy and Redistribution Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  13. Boix C, Stokes S. 2003. Endogenous democratization. World Politics 55:4517–49
    [Google Scholar]
  14. Bowles S. 2016. The Moral Economy: Why Good Incentives Are No Substitute for Good Citizens New Haven, CT/London, UK: Yale Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  15. Buchanan JM, Tullock G. 1962. The Calculus of Consent: Logical Foundations of Constitutional Democracy Ann Arbor: Univ. Mich. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  16. Carawan E. 2013. The Athenian Amnesty and Reconstructing the Law Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  17. Carothers T. 2007. The ‘sequencing fallacy.’. J. Democracy 18:112–27
    [Google Scholar]
  18. Carugati F. 2019a. Creating a Constitution: Law, Democracy and Growth in Ancient Athens Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  19. Carugati F. 2019b. Tradeoffs of inclusion: development in ancient Athens. Comp. Political Stud. In press. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414019843557
    [Crossref] [Google Scholar]
  20. Cheibub JA. 2007. Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, and Democracy New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  21. Dahl RA. 1971. Polyarchy; Participation and Opposition New Haven, CT: Yale Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  22. Diamond LJ. 1999. Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  23. Diamond LJ. 2008. The Spirit of Democracy: The Struggle to Build Free Societies Throughout the World New York: Holt Paperbacks
    [Google Scholar]
  24. Diamond LJ. 2015. Facing up to the democratic recession. J. Democracy 26:1141–55
    [Google Scholar]
  25. Dincecco M. 2009. Fiscal centralization, limited government, and public revenues in Europe, 1650–1913. J. Econ. Hist. 69:148–103
    [Google Scholar]
  26. Doucouliagos H, Ulubaşoğlu MA. 2008. Democracy and economic growth: a meta-analysis. Am. J. Political Sci. 52:161–83
    [Google Scholar]
  27. Epstein DL, Bates R, Goldstone J, Kristensen I, O'Halloran S 2006. Democratic transitions. Am. J. Political Sci. 50:3551–69
    [Google Scholar]
  28. Farrell H, Schneier B. 2019. Democracy's dilemma. Boston Rev May 15. https://bostonreview.net/forum-henry-farrell-bruce-schneier-democracys-dilemma
    [Google Scholar]
  29. Fearon J. 2011. Self-enforcing democracy. Q. J. Econ. 126:41661–708
    [Google Scholar]
  30. Feng Y. 2003. Democracy, Governance, and Economic Performance: Theory and Evidence Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
    [Google Scholar]
  31. Fleck RK, Hanssen AF. 2006. The origins of democracy: a model with application to ancient Greece. J. Law Econ. 49:1115–46
    [Google Scholar]
  32. Forsdyke S. 2018. Ancient and modern conceptions of the rule of law. Ancient Greek History and Contemporary Social Science M Canevaro, B Gray, A Erskine, J Ober 184–212 Edinburgh Leventis Stud. Edinburgh: Edinburgh Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  33. Fukuyama F. 1992. The End of History and the Last Man New York: Free Press
    [Google Scholar]
  34. Fukuyama F. 2005. ‘Stateness’ first. J. Democracy 16:184–88
    [Google Scholar]
  35. Fukuyama F. 2011. The Origins of Political Order: From Prehuman Times to the French Revolution New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
    [Google Scholar]
  36. Fukuyama F. 2014. Political Order and Political Decay: From the Industrial Revolution to the Globalization of Democracy New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
    [Google Scholar]
  37. Fuller LL. 1964. The Morality of Law New Haven, CT: Yale Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  38. Gabrielsen V. 1994. Financing the Athenian Fleet: Public Taxation and Social Relations Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  39. Geddes B. 2011. What causes democratization. The Oxford Handbook of Political Science RE Goodin 593–615 Oxford, UK: Oxford Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  40. Gerring J, Bond P, Barndt WT, Moreno C 2005. Democracy and economic growth: a historical perspective. World Politics 57:3323–64
    [Google Scholar]
  41. Ginsburg T, Huq AZ. 2018. How to Save a Constitutional Democracy Chicago: Univ. Chicago Press
    [Google Scholar]
  42. González de Lara Y, Greif A, Jha S 2008. The administrative foundations of self-enforcing constitutions. Am. Econ. Rev. 98:2105–9
    [Google Scholar]
  43. Greif A, Laitin DD. 2004. A theory of endogenous institutional change. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 98:4633–52
    [Google Scholar]
  44. Grzymala-Busse A. 2019. In defense of norms. Boston Rev May 16. http://bostonreview.net/forum/democracys-dilemma/anna-grzymala-busse-defense-norms
    [Google Scholar]
  45. Grzymala-Busse A. 2020. Beyond war and contracts: the medieval and religious roots of the European state. Annu. Rev. Political Sci. 23:19–36
    [Google Scholar]
  46. Hanssen FA, Fleck RK. 2013. How tyranny paved the way to democracy: the democratic transition in ancient Greece. J. Law Econ. 56:389–416
    [Google Scholar]
  47. Hardin R. 1989. Why a Constitution?. The Federalist Papers and the New Institutionalism B Grofman, D Wittman 100–20 New York: Agathon
    [Google Scholar]
  48. Hardin R. 1999. Liberalism, Constitutionalism, and Democracy New York: Oxford Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  49. Houle C. 2009. Inequality and democracy: why inequality harms consolidation but does not affect democratization. World Politics 61:4589–622
    [Google Scholar]
  50. Huntington SP. 1968. Political Order in Changing Societies New Haven, CT: Yale Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  51. Huntington SP. 1991. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century Norman: Univ. Okla. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  52. Inglehart R. 1990. Culture Shift in Advanced Industrial Society Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  53. Inglehart R, Welzel C. 2005. Modernization, Cultural Change, and Democracy: The Human Development Sequence New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  54. Jackman RW, Miller RA. 1996. A renaissance of political culture. ? Am. J. Political Sci. 40:3632–59
    [Google Scholar]
  55. Knutsen CH. 2012. Democracy and economic growth: a survey of arguments and results. Int. Area Stud. Rev. 15:4393–415
    [Google Scholar]
  56. Knutsen CH. 2013. Democracy, state capacity, and economic growth. World Dev 43:31–18
    [Google Scholar]
  57. Kron G. 2011. The distribution of wealth in Athens in comparative perspective. Z. Papyrol. Epigr. 179:129–38
    [Google Scholar]
  58. Lagia A. 2015. Diet and the polis: an isotopic study of diet in Athens and Laurion during the Classical, Hellenistic, and Imperial Roman periods. Archaeodiet in the Greek World: Dietary Reconstruction from Stable Isotope Analysis A Papathanasiou, MP Richards, SC Fox Hesperia Suppl. 49 119–45
    [Google Scholar]
  59. Lanni A, Vermeule A. 2013. Precautionary constitutionalism in ancient Athens. Cardozo Law Rev 34:893–915
    [Google Scholar]
  60. Levi M. 1988. Of Rule and Revenue Berkeley: Univ. Calif. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  61. Levitsky S, Ziblatt D. 2018. How Democracies Die New York: Crown
    [Google Scholar]
  62. Linz JJ. 1990. The perils of presidentialism. J. Democracy 1:151–69
    [Google Scholar]
  63. Linz JJ, Stepan A. 1978. The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  64. Linz JJ, Stepan A. 1996. Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation: Southern Europe, South America and Post-Communist Europe Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  65. Lipset SM. 1959. Some social requisites of democracy: economic development and political legitimacy. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 53:169–105
    [Google Scholar]
  66. Lizzeri A, Persico N. 2004. Why did the elites extend the suffrage? Democracy and the scope of government, with an application to Britain's “Age of Reform.”. Q. J. Econ. 119:2707–65
    [Google Scholar]
  67. Mainwaring S, Bizzarro F. 2019. The fates of third-wave democracies. J. Democracy 30:199–113
    [Google Scholar]
  68. Mayshar J, Moav O, Neeman Z 2017. Geography, transparency and institutions. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 111:3622–36
    [Google Scholar]
  69. Mittal S, Weingast BR. 2013. Self-enforcing constitutions. J. Law Econ. Organ. 29:2278–302
    [Google Scholar]
  70. Moore B. 1966. Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy: Lord and Peasant in the Making of the Modern World Boston: Beacon
    [Google Scholar]
  71. Morris I. 1998. Archaeology as a kind of anthropology (a response to David Small). Democracy 2500? Questions and Challenges I Morris, KA. Raaflaub 229–39 Dubuque, IA: Kendall/Hunt
    [Google Scholar]
  72. Morris I. 2004. Economic growth in ancient Greece. J. Inst. Theor. Econ. 160:4709–42
    [Google Scholar]
  73. Morris I. 2005. The eight century revolution Princeton/Stanford Work. Pap. Classics 120507
    [Google Scholar]
  74. North DC. 1981. Structure and Change in Economic History New York: Norton
    [Google Scholar]
  75. North DC. 1993. Institutions and credible commitment. J. Inst. Theor. Econ. 149:111–23
    [Google Scholar]
  76. North DC, Thomas RP. 1973. The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  77. North DC, Wallis J, Weingast BR 2009. Violence and Social Orders New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  78. North DC, Weingast BR. 1989. Constitutions and commitment. J. Econ. Hist. 49:803–32
    [Google Scholar]
  79. O'Donnell GA. 1973. Modernization and Bureaucratic-Authoritarianism: Studies in South American Politics Berkeley: Inst. Int. Stud., Univ. Calif.
    [Google Scholar]
  80. Ober J. 1989. Mass and Elite in Democratic Athens Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  81. Ober J. 2008. Democracy and Knowledge Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  82. Ober J. 2015. The Rise and Fall of Classical Greece Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  83. Ober J. 2017. Demopolis: Democracy Before Liberalism in Theory and Practice Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  84. Ordeshook PC. 1992. Constitutional stability. Const. Political Econ. 3:137–75
    [Google Scholar]
  85. Przeworski A. 1991. Democracy and the Market New York: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  86. Przeworski A. 2005. Democracy as an equilibrium. Public Choice 123:3/4253–73
    [Google Scholar]
  87. Przeworski A, Alvarez ME, Cheibub JA, Limongi F 2000. Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950–1990 Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  88. Przeworski A, Limongi F. 1993. Political regimes and economic growth. J. Econ. Perspect. 7:351–69
    [Google Scholar]
  89. Przeworski A, Limongi F. 1997. Modernization: theories and facts. World Politics 49:2155–83
    [Google Scholar]
  90. Putnam RD. 1993. Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  91. Rawls J. 1999. 1971. A Theory of Justice Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  92. Rawls J. 2005. 1993. Political Liberalism New York: Columbia Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  93. Scheidel W. 2010. Real wages in early economies: evidence from living standards from 1800 BCE to 1300 CE. J. Soc. Econ. Hist. Orient 53:425–62
    [Google Scholar]
  94. Shear J. 2011. Polis and Revolution. Responding to Oligarchy in Classical Athens Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  95. Stasavage D. 2002. Credible commitment in Early Modern Europe: North and Weingast revisited. J. Law Econ. Organ. 18:1155–86
    [Google Scholar]
  96. Stasavage D. 2010. When distance mattered: geographic scale and the development of European representative assemblies. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 104:4625–43
    [Google Scholar]
  97. Stasavage D. 2011. States of Credit: Size, Power, and the Development of European Polities Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  98. Stasavage D. 2017. When inclusive institutions failed. Lessons from the democratic revolutions of the Middle Ages Work. Pap. https://www.stasavage.com/research/
    [Google Scholar]
  99. Tavares J, Wacziarg R. 2001. How democracy affects growth. Eur. Econ. Rev. 45:81341–78
    [Google Scholar]
  100. Tilly C. 2007. Democracy Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
    [Google Scholar]
  101. Wahl F. 2019. Political participation and economic development. Evidence from the rise of participative political institutions in the late medieval German lands. Eur. Rev. Econ. Hist. 23:2193–213
    [Google Scholar]
  102. Weingast BR. 1997. The political foundations of democracy and the rule of law. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 91:2245–63
    [Google Scholar]
  103. Zakaria F. 1997. The rise of illiberal democracy. Foreign Aff 76:22–43
    [Google Scholar]
/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-052918-012050
Loading
  • Article Type: Review Article
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error